Category: Poker Hand Scenarios

You're Facing a Preflop All-In Late in a Daily With K♣Q♣ ...

Facing-Preflop-All-In-Late-Tournament-KQs

DECISION POINT: You're in a daily tournament that you frequently play at a local casino. There are 16 players remaining with 10 getting paid. In this tournament, it's common for players to do an even chop between the final 6 or 7 players. Blinds are 1,000/2,000 with a 2,000 big blind ante. You are second in chips with 126,000, with most other stacks around 60,000. The UTG player moves all-in for 23,000 and action folds to you in the Hijack seat with K♣Q♣. What's your move?

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PRO ANSWER: We are playing in a daily tournament at our local casino. There are 16 players left and 10 places get paid. We play in this tournament regularly. It's very common for an even chop to happen with 6-7 players left, where the remaining players evenly split the remaining prize money without regard for the chip stacks in play. We are currently second in chips with 126,000 and blinds are 1,000/2,000 with a 2,000 big blind ante. There are a few short stacks at the other table, but most players have around 60,000 chips, or 30 big blinds.

We are dealt K♣Q♣ in the Hijack seat and the Under the Gun player moves all-in for their remaining 23,000 chips. Action folds to us, and we have a decision to make. Under normal circumstances with a standard payout structure that is top-heavy, KQs would be right on the cusp of being able to call an all-in from a UTG player at an 8-handed table.

This situation, however, presents several unique variables. Given this tournament normally chops 6-7 ways evenly, the payout structure is very flat and rewards staying in the tournament far more than accumulating chips. If the UTG player is adjusting appropriately, they should be shoving much narrower than they would in a more typical tournament situation with 11.5 big blinds. Additionally, being second in chips means that we will likely get the maximum payout in a chop scenario simply by staying alive in the tournament. There is very little benefit to taking on risk to attempt to grow our stack beyond what is likely to make it into the final 6 or 7 players.

With these ICM factors at play, we should be continuing with a very narrow range, particularly with so many players behind us still to act. Chopping is very common in a lot of daily tournaments, particularly in a live casino environment. Making the correct strategic adjustments deep in a tournament when an even chop is likely is key to maximizing your value in these spots.

Folding is the best play.

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Poker Quiz! A♦A♥ Facing a Flop Check-Raise, What's Your Move?

AA-Facing-Flop-Check-Raise

DECISION POINT: You’re in a regional tournament series with deep stacks that attract both pros and recreational players. The blinds are 300/600 with a 600 big blind ante. UTG+1, who is a known and well-studied player capable of making aggressive plays, opens to 1,500. You reraise to 4,500 in MP2 with A♦A♥. Action folds back around to the UTG+1 player, and they call. The flop comes K♦3♦2♦. Your opponent checks, you bet 2,500, and they raise to 5,700. What do you do here?

PRO ANSWER: We are playing a regional series event with deep stacks that tend to attract a variety of both pros and recreational players from around the area. The blinds are 300/600 with a 600 big blind ante. The UTG+1 player is a known player with over $500k live earnings who is well studied and capable of making aggressive plays.

We are dealt A♦A♥ in MP2 and following a 1,500 chip open from UTG+1 and a fold by MP1, we make a standard reraise to 4,500 chips. Everyone else folds back to the UTG+1 player who just calls. The flop is K♦3♦2♦ and the UTG+1 player checks.

As the preflop aggressor we retain a significant range advantage, meaning we can often bet these monotone boards with 100% frequency. Our opponent in UTG+1 also has a lot of hands that completely miss these types of boards that will fold to any size bet. Given these factors, choosing a small c-bet size will allow for a great price on our bluffs while still being able to get value out of bigger hands and draws on future streets by sizing up. We bet 2,500 chips into a pot of slightly over 10,000, and our opponent makes a very small check-raise to 5,700.

With an overpair and the A♦ in our hand, folding isn’t a consideration. At this point, we have to decide if it is better to just call or if raising is preferred. This specific check-raise size isn’t something we would normally expect to see, in theory. Since this appears to be a deviation, we need to think about what type of hands this specific opponent might check-raise this size with and put them on a range.

It’s unlikely UTG+1 expects much fold equity when we’re getting 6:1 pot odds on our call. What is more likely is that they have a range consisting of some made hands of varying strengths, or semi-bluffs that prefer to wait until the turn (often for a “safe” card) to start bloating the pot more aggressively. This range includes hands like Kx with a diamond, as well as hands including AK, 33, 22, and some made flushes. If we didn’t hold the A♦, that range might include some combos with just the Ace of diamonds, as well as suited Ax of diamonds for some nut flushes, but since we do they can be excluded.

If we consider how the hands in UTG+1’s check-raising range might react if we were to reraise, most of the hands that we dominate are likely fold and only the hands ahead of our Aces currently such as made flushes and sets are likely to continue. This is a classic “way ahead, way behind” scenario where it benefits us to keep our opponent’s range wide so that hands like Kx can continue to shovel money into the pot on future streets drawing extremely thin.

Even when our opponent does have a hand like a set or flush we are getting a very compelling price to draw to the nut flush and potential one of the two remaining Aces for top set.

Calling is the best play.

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Poker Quiz! Flopped a Straight on a Monotone Board ...

Flopped Straight Monotone Board-optimzd

DECISION POINT: In a daily deep stack tournament with blinds at 250/500 and a 500 big blind ante, you’ve observed the table as being mostly passive with a lot of checking, calling, and very little 3-betting preflop. First to act in the UTG seat, you open to 1,200 with K♥J♥ and action folds to the Big Blind who calls. Your opponent checks the Q♠T♠9♠ flop, you c-bet 800, and they call. The turn is 4♥ and the Big Blind checks. Action is on you, what do you do here?

PRO ANSWER: We are playing a daily deep stacked tournament. The blinds are 250/500 with a 500 big blind ante. Most of the table has been fairly passive with a lot of checking and calling, as well as very little 3-betting preflop. We have 25,000 chips and the rest of the table has between 15,000-30,000 chips.

We are dealt K♥J♥ Under the Gun. While opening a tight range in early position is preferrable, KJs is easily strong enough to open, particularly at a passive table where we are unlikely to get 3-bet frequently. We open to 1,200 chips and everyone folds to the Big Blind who just calls.

The flop is Q♠T♠9♠ and we have flopped a straight on a monotone board. Our opponent in the Big Blind checks and action is on us. Monotone boards are very unique in No-Limit Hold’em. As the preflop aggressor in a heads up pot we often retain a significant range advantage, which means we should be continuation betting frequently. In fact, in many situations it will be strategically correct to continuation bet on monotone boards with 100% of our range.

The Big Blind’s defending range has a lot of hands that have completely missed with no pair and no draw that will automatically fold to any size bet. We need to choose a size that gives a good price on our bluffs while still allowing flexibility to size up on various turns and rivers against the part of our opponent’s range that has connected in some way, both for value and as a bluff.

Continued Below ...

Study-Session-Multiway-Pots-Postflop-Part2-Ad

We bet 800 chips (around 25% of the pot) and the Big Blind calls. The turn is the 4♥ and our opponent checks to us. Given our small flop bet size, the Big Blind will still have a fairly wide range on the turn including a lot of one pair hands as well as some Jx and combos containing a single spade. The Big Blind would have also preferred to check-raise some of the more vulnerable made hands on the flop such as small flushes.

These combined factors make this an excellent opportunity for us to fire a second barrel on the turn and extract value, as well as apply pressure against most of the Big Blind’s range. Many players are tempted to either check behind or bet small in this spot, fearing that they may be up against a flush. Since many of our opponent’s bigger hands would have raised the flop, it is quite likely (although never certain) we have the best hand, and we should bet bigger for value.

Betting 2/3 to 3/4 of the pot (3,000-3,500 chips) is the best play.

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Poker Quiz! K♣Q♠ Facing a Big Blind Donk Bet, What Do You Do?

KQ Facing a Big Blind Donk Bet-optmzed

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DECISION POINT: You’re playing in a live $1/$2 cash game. The table includes mostly loose/passive recreational players with many hands going to showdown, a lot of calling, and very little aggressive action. The UTG player limps, you raise to $10 from MP with K♣Q♠, the Big Blind calls, and the limper folds. The flop comes A♣T♣9♣. The Big Blind bets $14 and action is on you. What do you do here?

PRO ANSWER: We’re playing a loose/passive live $1/$2 cash game. The table is full of recreational players with many hands going to showdown and lots of calling with very little aggressive action. We are dealt K♣Q♠ in MP1. The UTG player limps and the next player folds with action on us.

As a basic default rule against limpers, we will raise with any of the hands that we cannot call with according to the calling criteria that are included in the first-in raising range for the seat position of the limper.

The first step is to determine whether we can call profitably per the calling criteria, and in this case KQo is not a true speculative hand and does not play well multiway. Looking at the first-in range from the initial limper in UTG we see that KQo is included, so isolating the limper is our preferred default play. We make it $10, everyone folds to the Big Blind who calls, and the initial limper UTG folds.

The flop is A♣T♣9♣ and the Big Blind leads for $14 into the $23 pot. In a typical game where there are some amount of skilled opponents, when the Big Blind calls preflop in this situation they likely have a very condensed and capped range. In a loose/passive game filled with recreational players, the Big Blind’s range a bit wider than it should including many of the sort of hands players want to “see a flop” with such as offsuit broadway cards, suited connectors, and pocket pairs.

When a player leads into the preflop raiser (often called “donk” betting) on flops that favor the preflop raiser, it’s often either an attempt to “see where they are at”, or because they are worried about not getting action on a big hand when they check. On a board like this monotone flop with an Ace and broadway draw which many recreational players find quite “scary”, this donk lead is typically because the Big Blind is worried we won’t bet and another club or straightening card will fall on the turn.

Holding the Kc and an inside straight draw, we still have a lot of equity in this pot, but it is unlikely we have the best hand at the moment. If the board texture was scattered or all low cards and more likely that our opponent was lead/donk betting a medium strength hand to “see where they were at”, there would be a lot of merit to making a semi-bluff raise.

On this particular board, many of the hands the Big Blind is leading with are actually happy to see a raise. Hands such as Ax/T9s combos or even small flushes prefer to get chips in on the flop before a scary card comes on the turn or river. Our hand has significant equity with the Kc and inside straight draw, and we have a lot of potential opportunities to float and take the pot away on the turn if another scary card hits. Given these factors, calling makes a lot more sense than semi-bluffing on this coordinated monotone flop.

Calling is the best play. 

P.S. Check out our December live study session where we focused on Dealing with Limpers. Watch a preview →

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Poker Quiz! Pocket Eights Facing an All-In, What Do You Do Here?

Pocket Eights Facing an All-In Online


DECISION POINT:
In an online Tournament with blinds at 500/1,000 and a 1,000 big blind ante you are dealt 8♣8♠ in the Cutoff seat. Stacks at the table range from 10BBs to just over 40BBs. The early position players fold, the MP1 player open shoves for 15,000 (15BBs) and action is on you with 21BBs behind.

What do you do here?

PRO ANSWER: We are in the middle stages of a major Sunday online tournament. The blinds are 500/1,000 with a 1,000 big blind ante. The stacks range from 10 big blinds to just over 40. We are dealt black eights in the cutoff and it folds to MP1 who open shoves for 15,000.! Everyone else folds and action is on us.

When analyzing spots like this after the fact, we should approach from two perspectives. First, we should estimate MP1 range and how our hand performs against that range, much like we would in real-time at the table. Second, we should double check our estimate in real-time by running the spot in a solver to see what things look like when both players are using optimal ranges.

Studying in this way allows us to exercise our brain in the same way that we will use at the table, and then either reinforce our thoughts with the solver or discover any errors.

If the decision was wrong in real-time we can determine if this is a fundamental leak and what adjustments need to be incorporated to our game plan. If the opponent was likely shoving different ranges than the solvers suggest which may often be the case, then we can consider the merits of making an exploitative adjustment against our real life foes.

A primary consideration is whether MP1 has a non all-in raising range here. It’s likely at this stack size that they would raise a more standard sizing and not just move all-in with AA/KK and some of their other biggest hands.

Continued below...

$5 Join Strategy Episodes v2

Given this we can assume that MP1 is likely to have a capped range that includes many suited broadway hands, some big Ax hands, and some middle pairs. The key factor we need to assess is if MP1 will ever move all-in with pocket pairs lower than 88 or Ax combinations where their kicker is lower than 8.

In real-time we thought it was possible our opponent is capable of shoving as light as 77, but 66 or less and A8s or worse seemed unlikely so we chose to fold.

Through post hand analysis using a Game Theory Optimal Solver we can see that if MP1 is splitting their range properly the all-in range will include 66-99, A8s-AJs, AKo, KJs, KTs, QTs+. The range of hands that prefers to raise a standard amount first-in at 15BB blinds includes a mix of stronger hands (TT+/AQs+), some smaller suited Ax combinations, and offsuit broadway hands. Against the specific all-in range provided by the Solver we see that 88 has a +550 chip (+.55 BB) expectation. This means that against an opponent using GTO ranges we should be calling, although the decision is still very close.

In real world situations many players might shove hands such as TT/JJ, especially as they don’t want to encourage action and have to play postflop. If MP1 was the type of opponent to use this larger sizing with medium pairs that may be vulnerable on overcard flops then this spot would quickly become a fold. We would also have an easier call if we were in the Blinds with fewer players behind yet to act.

Against a GTO opponent, calling is the best play. Against specific opponents shoving narrower ranges or higher pairs, you could make an exploitative fold.

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Poker Quiz! J♠J♣ on the Button Facing a Raise and Reraise ...

JJ Button Facing Raise and Reraise-optimzd

DECISION POINT: You’re playing in a two-day regional tournament and have noticed your tablemates are using appropriate ranges based on hands seen at showdown. The blinds are 500/1,000 with a 1,000 big blind ante. The UTG player raises to 2,200 and MP1 reraises to 6,500. Action folds to you on the Button with J♠J♣. What do you do here?

PRO ANSWER: We are playing in a two-day regional event with a reasonable structure. The blinds are 500/1,000 with a 1,000 big blind ante. So far, we’ve seen solid hands at showdown from every player at the table and can assume we are up against competent opponents.

We are dealt J♠J♣ on the Button and the UTG player raises to 2,200 chips. Following a fold from UTG+1, the player in the MP1 seat reraises to 6,500 chips and everyone else folds to us. This is a spot where many players make the mistake of thinking about their hand’s absolute value instead of their hand’s relative value in the specific situation. Pocket jacks is one of the top 5 starting hands in poker, and we are going to want to continue in some fashion preflop in the majority of situations.

In this scenario, however, the initial raise came from an early position player followed by a reraise from MP1 with 40 big blind effective stacks. In this spot, MP1 should be raising fewer than 5% of total hands. To give an idea of what this looks like, MP1’s reraising range should only include hands such as TT+/AKs/AQo+ along with a few bluffs for balance. A true GTO 3-betting range for MP1 versus UTG open would include 88-QQ all mixing with some frequency, where pocket pairs 88-JJ are doing more calling than raising. Combine MP1’s narrow range with the fact that any action preflop will very quickly become pot committing for us, and our hand doesn’t look near as nice.

If we had some sort of information that our opponents were on the more aggressive side with their preflop ranges, we might be able to continue exploitatively. In longer events that are well-structured, players will often be even more passive than optimal ranges would suggest, which would make continuing here with pocket jacks even more problematic.

It can be incredibly frustrating to be dealt a top 5 starting hand in No-Limit Hold’em and have to fold preflop facing multiple raises. When the action suggests that one of your opponents is likely holding something that is stronger, finding folds and preserving your stack for more favorable situations is a huge edge.

Folding is the best play.

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Poker Quiz! Pocket Sevens in Late Position Vs the Big Blind...

Pocket-Sevens-LP-Vs-Big-Blind-optimzd

DECISION POINT: You're in the early stages of a daily tournament with no significant reads on your tablemates, with the exception that they mostly have been showing down reasonable hands. The blinds are 200/400 with a 400 big blind ante and you have 20,000 chips to start the hand. The action folds to you in the Cutoff with 7♠7♥, you open to 1,000, and only the Big Blind calls. The flop comes K♠5♥2♦. Your opponent checks, you c-bet 900, and they call. On the 3♠ turn the Big Blind leads out for 1,500 and action is on you. What do you do here?

PRO ANSWER: We are in the earlier stages of a daily tournament with blinds of 200/400 and a 400 big blind ante. Most of the players have been showing down reasonable hands when we’ve had the opportunity to see them, and we otherwise haven’t developed any significant reads to this point in the session.

With 20,000 chips to start the hand in the Cutoff and holding 7♠7♥ we make a standard raise to 1,000 chips, and everyone folds to the Big Blind who just calls. The flop is K♠5♥2♦ and the Big Blind checks to us. This is a board where the preflop raiser from the Cutoff will have a significant range advantage and we will frequently continuation bet with our entire range. In game we make the preferred choice and bet 900 into the 2,600 pot, and the Big Blind just calls.

The turn is the 3♠ and surprisingly, our opponent leads for 1,500. When an opponent takes a line where they lead into the aggressor on the turn, there is often one of several factors at play.

First, the Big Blind will often lead the turn when picking up additional equity, which in this case would mostly be flush draws but does include some Ax, 6x, and 4x hands.

Second, they could have turned two-pair or better with hands including A4, K3, 33, 53, and 32s, and are trying to build a pot fearing we may not fire again on this board texture. Lastly, this turn lead may be intended to deny equity since we are betting such a wide range on the flop. Many of the 5x combos in the Big Blind’s range benefit greatly from generating folds from some of our random overcards, such QJo, that still have significant equity.

Given these assumptions, the Big Blind’s leading range likely consists of some draws, some bigger hands, and some medium-strength hands looking to clear out equity. Our pocket sevens are doing fairly well against that range. However, there is little reason to raise as our opponent is likely to fold medium-strength hands we dominate, continue with the hands that dominate us, and proceed with draws only if getting the correct price.

Calling is the best play.

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Poker Quiz! 9♥9♣ Facing a Flop Donk Bet, What's Your Move?

99-Facing-a-Flop-Donk-Bet

DECISION POINT: You have late registered for a daily tournament with a fast structure. The blinds are 250/500 with a 500 big blind ante. It folds to you in MP1 with 9♥9♣ and you raise first-in to 1,000. Action folds to the Big Blind who just calls. The flop comes 7♣6♣5♥ and your opponent bets 1,000. Action is on you. What do you do here?

PRO ANSWER: We have just entered a daily tournament with a fast structure and are jumping in a few levels after the start. The blinds are 250/500 with a 500 big blind ante. We are dealt 9♥9♣ in MP1 with our 10,000 starting stack. Everyone folds to us, and since pocket nines are a part of our first-in hand range from this position, we open to 1,000 chips. Everyone folds except the Big Blind, who just calls.

The flop is 7♣6♣5♥ and our opponent leads for 1,000 chips. Unlike our recent decision from a cash game session, this is a spot where a good opponent should be doing some leading based on theory. This board does connect well with a Big Blind defense calling range, but they have many hands that benefit from protection, and this is a board we won’t be expected to continuation bet often.

The Big Blind’s range should include a lot of 1-pair hands, especially those that have some sort of straight and/or flush draw to provide some backup equity. They will also lead with some overcard combinations that include flush draws, both backdoor and direct, as well as some 2-pair hands for balance. When we look at this situation closely, the Big Blind should be leading with around 50% of their range on this board.

From our perspective, we have an overpair with an inside straight draw and a stack to pot ratio (SPR) of around 3. This is not a spot we would ever be looking to fold our hand, so the main question we have to ask is if we should just call or raise. When considering the potential leading range for the Big Blind as discussed above, we can assume:

  • We are well ahead of most of their 1-pair hands
  • We still have significant equity against many of their 2-pair hands
  • Many of their overcards have significant equity against us


It is important to consider that if we were to raise now, many of their hands that we are well ahead of will call, while many of the overcard combos that have significant equity against us will fold (with the exception of direct flush draws using both hole cards). When our opponent will continue against aggression with hands such as 74s but folds hands such as JhTh or KcTh, that is a huge win for us.

Raising is the best play.

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Poker Quiz! Facing a C-Bet After Flopping Trips, What Do You Do?

Flopped-Trips-JT-Facing-C-Bet-FR

DECISION POINT: You’re playing a $1,500 regional tournament main event at a local card room that brings serious recreational players and pros. The play at your table has been aggressive with a lot of players firing multiple streets and few hands going to showdown. Blinds are 250/500 with a 500 big blind ante and you have a 20,000 chip stack. The opponent in UTG+1, who is an accomplished player, opens to 1,100 and everyone folds to you on the Button with J♦T♦. You call and the flop comes J♠J♥8♠. The early position opponent c-bets 1,200 and the action is on you. What's your move here?

PRO ANSWER: We're playing in a regional tournament at our local card room. It's a $1,500 main event that tends to draws in a lot of serious recreational players as well as pros from around the region. The action at our table has been a bit on the aggressive side, with lots of players capable of firing multiple barrels and few hands going to showdown.

The blinds are 250/500 with a 500 big blind ante, and we have 20,000 chips to start the hand. We are on the Button and are dealt J♦T♦. The UTG player folds and the opponent in UTG+1, who we recognize as an accomplished player and WSOP Bracelet winner, opens to 1,100 chips. Everyone else folds.

This is a great spot to call as part of an overall Button defense strategy. Our hand plays extremely well postflop with positional advantage, giving us a big edge at this stack depth against players who are capable of firing multiple barrels.

Both Blinds fold and the flop is J♠J♥8♠. The UTG+1 player comes out firing 1,200 chips, or just over one third of the pot. This is a flop where the early position raiser has a significant range advantage, and we can expect them to be betting nearly their entire range. We flopped a very strong hand and have a decision to make. Should we slow play our three of a kind or play it faster by raising now?

In this case, we are in position and against a single opponent. They should be continuation betting with a very wide range of hands, including plenty of overcard combinations that might not call a raise on the flop but could easily put more chips in the pot if they hit something like an ace or a king on the turn. UTG+1’s c-bet bluffing range could also easily continue bluffing on a lot of turn cards.

Many players immediately see the flush and straight draw cards on this board and become passive for fear of getting drawn out on. While that is the case, flush draws make up a very small portion of our opponent’s overall range, and we block a key straightening card by holding the Td in our hand. Additionally, if we raise it is difficult to get called by many worse hands. An early position raising range is unlikely to have many worse Jx combos than our JTs, and while UTG+1 does have some AA/KK/QQ hands, even those might proceed with caution when we raise the flop.

When we pause to consider the specific opponent, table tendencies, our position, the stack depth, and how both our ranges interact with this board, our best chance to win a big pot and maximize EV in this spot is to slow play and just call.

Calling is the best play.

How would you play it?
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Poker Quiz! 3-Betting From the Small Blind With J♠J♣ ...

3-Betting Small Blind With JJ

DECISION POINT: You’re playing a daily tournament and late registration is still open. The blinds are 250/500 with a 500 big blind ante. A player in Middle Position raises first-in to 1,100 and it folds to you in the Small Blind with J♠J♣. You 3-bet to 4,000, the Big Blind folds, and the original raiser calls. The flop comes 9♥6♠6♣ and action is on you. What do you do here?

PRO ANSWER: We're playing in a daily tournament. Late registration is still open and the blinds are 250/500 with a 500 big blind ante. We are dealt J♠J♣ in the Small Blind and the action folds to MP2 who opens to 1,100 chips. Everyone else folds and action is on us.

Out of the Small Blind we prefer to reraise with a linear range, meaning that we will be reraising for value with hands that are ahead of our opponent’s range. Our opponent in Middle Position should be opening with around 25% of total hands as the first-in raiser.

Our jacks are well ahead of that range, so they would be a part of a linear 3-betting range. Typical 3-bet sizing will be around 3x the opening raise size, but since we will be out of position the remainder of the hand, we want to reraise a bit larger to make up for the positional disadvantage. We elect to make it 4,000 chips and our opponent calls.

The flop is 9♥6♠6♣ and action is on us. As the preflop 3-bettor we have a large range advantage on this flop and have all the big overpairs in our range. MP2’s range consists mostly of bigger suited cards and middle pairs, most of which don’t connect very well with this board. Since we have such a tremendous range advantage, it is ideal to c-bet with our entire range.

Typically, we utilize a smaller bet size when c-betting our entire range. However, this situation is unique. The stack to pot ratio (SPR) is just under two. With so much money in the pot in relation to our stack, some hands in our range start to really benefit from protection.

In this case, our really strong hands like AA/KK and semi-bluffs, such as AKo/AQo type hands, prefer to bet around 25% of the pot. Our more vulnerable hands, like TT/JJ and A9s, want to bet a larger sizing of around 50% of the pot in order to protect against many of the potential overcards that connect with MP2’s range.

Betting half of the pot is the best play.

How would you play it?
Share your answer in the comments section below!


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